Will I resolve this as yes or no?
Final price
47.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.3%.
- Final market price
- 47.3%
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I resolve this as yes or no? The final Manifold price was 47.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 47.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 18, 2026 at 2:14 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 125d ago
What this market actually measures
Update 2026-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution will be determined by a wheel spin.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Update 2026-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution will be determined by a wheel spin.