Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Final market price
- 59.0%
- Event deadline
- January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 59.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 59.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST? The final Manifold price was 59.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 29, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 114d ago
What this market actually measures
I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst