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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 67d ago

Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST?

Final price
59.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.

Final market price
59.0%
Event deadline
January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
Probability 24 hours before event deadline
59.0%
Probability seven days before event deadline
59.0%
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST? The final Manifold price was 59.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.

Market data as of
June 29, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
67d ago

What this market actually measures

I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ1.7K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
59.0%
Resolves
Jan 31, 2027

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