Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Final market price
- 59.0%
- Event deadline
- January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 59.0%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 59.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I qualify for the 2027 USA TST? The final Manifold price was 59.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 29, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- January 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 67d ago
What this market actually measures
I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I will try my best on TSTST. Past olympiad results (for some definition of olympiad): 670760 JMO 2024 770 PuMAC Finals 2024 160770 USAMO 2025 700710 USEMO 2025 200 PuMAC Finals 2025 740777 JMO 2026 6 7 1 1 11 HMIC 2026 https://manifold.markets/grins/will-i-qualify-for-the-2027-usa-tst
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ1.7K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 59.0%
- Resolves
- Jan 31, 2027