Will I organize or play a social deduction game with prediction markets before July?
Final price
64.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 64.8%.
- Final market price
- 64.8%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I organize or play a social deduction game with prediction markets before July? The final Manifold price was 64.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 64.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 2, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 110d ago
What this market actually measures
See Prediction markets for social deduction games (I vibecoded https://deduction.markets)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
See Prediction markets for social deduction games (I vibecoded https://deduction.markets)
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