ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 64d ago
Will I organize or play a social deduction game with prediction markets before July?
Final price
64.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 64.8%.
- Final market price
- 64.8%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I organize or play a social deduction game with prediction markets before July? The final Manifold price was 64.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 64.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 2, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 64d ago
What this market actually measures
See Prediction markets for social deduction games (I vibecoded https://deduction.markets)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
See Prediction markets for social deduction games (I vibecoded https://deduction.markets)
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ111.4
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 64.8%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
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