Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day until July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Final market price
- 53.1%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day until July? (Ṁ10 Bonus) The final Manifold price was 53.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 11:55 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 111d ago
What this market actually measures
This market is about whether I will leave the house before 11 a.m. every day from 21 June to 30 June.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market is about whether I will leave the house before 11 a.m. every day from 21 June to 30 June. YES if I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day within the timeframe and stay outside for at least 10 minutes. NO if I don't, for any reason whatsoever. Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close. Additional notes: The bonus is meant to boost engagement. More engagement = more motivation. Thanks for participating. ❤