ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 73d ago
Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day until July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Final price
54.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.4%.
- Final market price
- 54.4%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 54.4%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day until July? (Ṁ10 Bonus) The final Manifold price was 54.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.4%.
- Market data as of
- June 23, 2026 at 9:19 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 73d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ83.9
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ219.1
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 54.4%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026