Will I increase the number of pull ups I can do by 50%+ by 25th June?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 37.0%.
- Final market price
- 37.0%
- Event deadline
- June 24, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I increase the number of pull ups I can do by 50%+ by 25th June? The final Manifold price was 37.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 37.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 29, 2026 at 4:32 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 24, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 114d ago
What this market actually measures
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eb7tgP7Bla8 -- I'll be following this five min routine every day which according to Jeff, guarantees a 50% increase in my max number of pull ups. Day one test I could do 13 pull ups.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eb7tgP7Bla8 -- I'll be following this five min routine every day which according to Jeff, guarantees a 50% increase in my max number of pull ups. Day one test I could do 13 pull ups. Followed by another 20 over 5 minutes after a 2 min break. Resolves yes if I do 20 pull ups without a break at any point before 25th June. No otherwise. I will only bet yes in this market. Bet no and allow me the pleasure of proving you wrong.