Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.2%.
- Final market price
- 46.2%
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.) The final Manifold price was 46.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.2%.
- Market data as of
- June 24, 2026 at 11:27 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 72d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if I physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. This market will resolve to NO if I do not physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if I physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. This market will resolve to NO if I do not physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. If I only watch a service online (such as a livestream on YouTube) or do not participate in any service, this market will resolve to NO. Resolution will be determined by my own honest reporting in the market comments or resolution notes. Background This market tracks my in-person church attendance for Sunday, June 21, 2026. On Sunday, June 14, 2026, I stayed home to watch the REV Church San Diego (located in Vista, CA) service online via YouTube. I previously attended a church service in person on Sunday, June 7, 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ8
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 46.2%
- Resolves
- Jun 21, 2026