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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 72d ago

Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.)

Final price
46.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.2%.

Final market price
46.2%
Event deadline
June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.) The final Manifold price was 46.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.2%.

Market data as of
June 24, 2026 at 11:27 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
72d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if I physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. This market will resolve to NO if I do not physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if I physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. This market will resolve to NO if I do not physically attend a church service in person on Sunday, June 21, 2026. If I only watch a service online (such as a livestream on YouTube) or do not participate in any service, this market will resolve to NO. Resolution will be determined by my own honest reporting in the market comments or resolution notes. Background This market tracks my in-person church attendance for Sunday, June 21, 2026. On Sunday, June 14, 2026, I stayed home to watch the REV Church San Diego (located in Vista, CA) service online via YouTube. I previously attended a church service in person on Sunday, June 7, 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ1

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ8

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
46.2%
Resolves
Jun 21, 2026

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