Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.3%.
- Final market price
- 55.3%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 6:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive? The final Manifold price was 55.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 11:50 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 6:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 112d ago
What this market actually measures
I am a master's CS student at a top 100 uni in europe, accepted for a PhD at a similar uni this year. My focus is generally in formal methods (math formalizations and proofs for programs), I have 1 co-authored published paper, and currently work as an research assistant.
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View full official resolution rules
I am a master's CS student at a top 100 uni in europe, accepted for a PhD at a similar uni this year. My focus is generally in formal methods (math formalizations and proofs for programs), I have 1 co-authored published paper, and currently work as an research assistant. The Iliad Intensive is a taught bootcamp on AI alignment, the August iteration taking place in Lighthaven for 3 weeks with a $5k stipend for travel and accomodation. The organizrs said on LW that Applicants will be selected on the basis of estimated mathematical strength. and In the April edition we have a cohort of 16 people among 40 applicants. If we receive sufficiently many promising applications and our office space allows, we may have cohorts of up to 30 people, or maybe eventually even more down the road. They seem to be doing more promotion for the following iterations, which probably means more competition. https://www.iliad.ac/programs.html [link preview]https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/moG6k8mJiGvH4zc8j/what-is-the-iliad-intensive I will probably answer most relevant questions in the comments. Resolves whenever I hear back on my application, presumably by the end of June, otherwise the date will be extended.