Will I exercise every single day until July?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Final market price
- 56.0%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I exercise every single day until July? The final Manifold price was 56.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 2, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 111d ago
What this market actually measures
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from 10 June to 30 June. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from 10 June to 30 June. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: EITHER 30+ minutes of jogging, cycling, swimming or stationary bike OR 60+ minutes of taking a walk outside. NO i f I miss a single day for any reason whatsoever. Notes: I will not trade on this market.