Will I exercise every single day until July?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Final market price
- 56.0%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I exercise every single day until July? The final Manifold price was 56.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 2, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from 10 June to 30 June. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from 10 June to 30 June. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: EITHER 30+ minutes of jogging, cycling, swimming or stationary bike OR 60+ minutes of taking a walk outside. NO i f I miss a single day for any reason whatsoever. Notes: I will not trade on this market.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ14
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ164.8
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 56.0%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026