Will I exercise every single day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 61.8%.
- Final market price
- 61.8%
- Event deadline
- September 20, 2026 at 1:22 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I exercise every single day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus) The final Manifold price was 61.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 61.8%.
- Market data as of
- September 22, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 4, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 20, 2026 at 1:22 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from September 14 through September 20. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from September 14 through September 20. YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: EITHER 25+ minutes of jogging, cycling, swimming or stationary bike OR 50+ minutes of taking a walk outside. NO i f I miss a single day for any reason whatsoever. Ṁ10 Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close. Notes: Thanks for participating. ❤