Will I eat a banana today?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.2%.
- Final market price
- 30.2%
- Event deadline
- August 13, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I eat a banana today? The final Manifold price was 30.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.2%.
- Market data as of
- August 16, 2026 at 7:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 13, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I eat at least a portion of a real banana today (before 11:59 PM in my local timezone). This market resolves to NO if I do not eat a banana today.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I eat at least a portion of a real banana today (before 11:59 PM in my local timezone). This market resolves to NO if I do not eat a banana today. Note: Consumption of actual banana fruit (including banana blended into a smoothie or sliced on food) counts. Artificial banana-flavored products (such as banana candy) do not count. I will resolve this market honestly based on my actions. Background This is a personal tracking market monitoring my fruit consumption for the day. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.