Will I beat Predictle in 1 turn TWICE by 7/7/26? (First time I won in 1 turn today does not count!)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.9%.
- Final market price
- 53.9%
- Event deadline
- July 6, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I beat Predictle in 1 turn TWICE by 7/7/26? (First time I won in 1 turn today does not count!) The final Manifold price was 53.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 10, 2026 at 4:52 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 6, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 56d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I successfully solve the daily Predictle game on Manifold in exactly one turn (first guess) on at least two distinct calendar days between June 12, 2026 and July 7, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I successfully solve the daily Predictle game on Manifold in exactly one turn (first guess) on at least two distinct calendar days between June 12, 2026 and July 7, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. If Predictle is permanently discontinued, renamed, or modified such that a "1-turn solve" is no longer possible before the second success is achieved, this market will resolve to NO (unless the two successes were already achieved). Background Predictle is a daily game hosted on Manifold Markets where players sort five active prediction markets from highest to lowest probability. A "1-turn solve" is achieved when a player correctly orders all five markets on their very first guess of the day. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ43.9
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 53.9%
- Resolves
- Jul 6, 2026