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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 34d ago

Will I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day in July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)

Final price
49.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.3%.

Final market price
49.3%
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day in July? (Ṁ10 Bonus) The final Manifold price was 49.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.3%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
34d ago

What this market actually measures

This is a commitment device market about avoiding a variety of media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. from 1 July to 31 July 2026.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

This is a commitment device market about avoiding a variety of media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. from 1 July to 31 July 2026. YES, if I avoid audiovisual media and a list of distracting apps (mostly social media apps) before 1 p.m.. Podcasts are only allowed when I'm away from home. Media consumption related to my studies is exempt. NO, if I consume prohibited media, before 1 p.m., for more than three minutes total, on a day within the timeframe. Focus Mode will be enabled on all my mobile devices. Ṁ10 Bonus: Every human unique trader on this market receives a one-time Ṁ10 Bonus at market close. Thanks for participating. ❤

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ1K

Total volume

Ṁ128

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
49.3%
Resolves
Jul 31, 2026

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