Will I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day in July? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.3%.
- Final market price
- 49.3%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day in July? (Ṁ10 Bonus) The final Manifold price was 49.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 80d ago
What this market actually measures
This is a commitment device market about avoiding a variety of media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. from 1 July to 31 July 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This is a commitment device market about avoiding a variety of media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. from 1 July to 31 July 2026. YES, if I avoid audiovisual media and a list of distracting apps (mostly social media apps) before 1 p.m.. Podcasts are only allowed when I'm away from home. Media consumption related to my studies is exempt. NO, if I consume prohibited media, before 1 p.m., for more than three minutes total, on a day within the timeframe. Focus Mode will be enabled on all my mobile devices. Ṁ10 Bonus: Every human unique trader on this market receives a one-time Ṁ10 Bonus at market close. Thanks for participating. ❤