Will "$HYPE" reach a new ATH before EOY?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 61.3%.
- Final market price
- 61.3%
- Event deadline
- August 21, 2026 at 9:37 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will "$HYPE" reach a new ATH before EOY? The final Manifold price was 61.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 61.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 23, 2026 at 11:41 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 21, 2026 at 9:37 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 58d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Hyperliquid ($HYPE) reaches $76.98 USD or higher at any point between August 19, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. The market will resolve to NO if $HYPE does not reach this price threshold by the expiry time.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Hyperliquid ($HYPE) reaches $76.98 USD or higher at any point between August 19, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. The market will resolve to NO if $HYPE does not reach this price threshold by the expiry time. Sources of truth: The price will be verified using the "All-Time High" (ATH) statistics or historical price data on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap. If a price of $76.98 USD or higher is recorded on either platform (including intraday spikes), the market will resolve to YES. In the event of minor discrepancies between the tracking platforms, the higher recorded peak between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will be used for resolution. If both sources are unavailable, the creator may refer to high-volume exchanges listing HYPE (e.g., Bybit or Kraken) or Hyperliquid on-chain data. Background Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is the native Layer 1 token of the Hyperliquid decentralized exchange. Launched in late 2024, the token experienced rapid appreciation through early 2026, fueled by institutional inflows (including a disclosed $100M+ position from Multicoin Capital), US spot ETFs, and expanding on-chain features like pre-IPO equity perpetuals. The token's current all-time high stands at approximately $76.97 USD, which was established on June 16, 2026. After hitting its peak, $HYPE underwent a leverage reset and profit-taking correction, trading in the high-$50 to low-$60 range as of August 2026. This market predicts whether $HYPE will reclaim its previous high and set a new milestone before the end of the year.