Will Gustavo Petro claim fraud in Colombia's 2026 presidential election?
Final price
89.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.3%.
- Final market price
- 89.3%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 89.3%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 89.3%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Gustavo Petro claim fraud in Colombia's 2026 presidential election? The final Manifold price was 89.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 25, 2026 at 2:17 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 118d ago