ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 72d ago
Will Gustavo Petro claim fraud in Colombia's 2026 presidential election?
Final price
89.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.3%.
- Final market price
- 89.3%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 89.3%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 89.3%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Gustavo Petro claim fraud in Colombia's 2026 presidential election? The final Manifold price was 89.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 89.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 25, 2026 at 2:17 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:08 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 72d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ93.3
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ193.3
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 89.3%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026