Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of August 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 5.1%.
- Final market price
- 5.1%
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Grok 4.7 be released by the end of August 2026? The final Manifold price was 5.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 5.1%.
- Market data as of
- September 2, 2026 at 12:22 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 16, 2026 at 4:57 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th, and was released August 12th. Currently, 4.7 is slated for early September.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Grok 4.6 was said to be August 7th, and was released August 12th. Currently, 4.7 is slated for early September. https://www.reddit.com/r/cursor/comments/1v924ah/grok_46_around_august_7_and_grok_47_likely_early/