ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 52d ago
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race?
Final price
11.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.5%.
- Final market price
- 11.5%
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 11.5%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 11.5%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Graham Platner Drop out of the Maine Senate Race? The final Manifold price was 11.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.5%.
- Market data as of
- July 14, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 52d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves Yes if he drops out of the primary or national race
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves Yes if he drops out of the primary or national race
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ5.6K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 11.5%
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026