ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 54d ago
Will Graham Platner drop out of the Maine senate election on or before July 14?
Final price
88.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 88.0%.
- Final market price
- 88.0%
- Event deadline
- July 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 88.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Graham Platner drop out of the Maine senate election on or before July 14? The final Manifold price was 88.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 88.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 12, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 14, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 54d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ183.9
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ1.5K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 88.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 14, 2026