ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 59d ago
Will going to Manifest cause me to dramatically increase my usage of manifold markets?
Final price
45.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.2%.
- Final market price
- 45.2%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 45.2%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 45.2%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will going to Manifest cause me to dramatically increase my usage of manifold markets? The final Manifold price was 45.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 45.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 8, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 59d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolved based on my subjective view of whether I dramatically increase my usage for the month after manifest. Can resolve early.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolved based on my subjective view of whether I dramatically increase my usage for the month after manifest. Can resolve early.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ12.8
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 45.2%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
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