ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 61d ago
Will Germany hit an all time record high temperature in 2026?
Final price
87.6%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.6%.
- Final market price
- 87.6%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 87.6%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 87.6%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Germany hit an all time record high temperature in 2026? The final Manifold price was 87.6%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.6%.
- Market data as of
- July 6, 2026 at 7:09 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 61d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ249.8
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 87.6%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
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