Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.8%.
- Final market price
- 97.8%
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 97.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 97.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026? The final Manifold price was 97.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.8%.
- Market data as of
- August 16, 2026 at 12:42 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 27, 2026 at 5:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Specifically for this model (or like Gemini 3.7 Flash Preview). Any other name will not count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Specifically for this model (or like Gemini 3.7 Flash Preview). Any other name will not count. For the definition of release, see the general August AI model release market for specific terms.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ845.7
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ903.8
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 97.8%
- Resolves
- Aug 31, 2026