Will Gavin Newsom veto the "Plug and Play" solar bill SB 868
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 21.9%.
- Final market price
- 21.9%
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Gavin Newsom veto the "Plug and Play" solar bill SB 868 The final Manifold price was 21.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 21.9%.
- Market data as of
- October 3, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 17d ago
What this market actually measures
https://www.reddit.com/r/sanfrancisco/comments/1w4p4hk/plug_and_play_solar_under_1200w_is_about_to/ https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/bills/ca_202520260sb868 Background SB 868, authored by Senator Scott Wiener, aims to ease the deployment of "plug-in" or "balcony" solar systems. These are small, portable systems (capped at 1,200 watts) that users can plug directly into standard 120V wall outlets without needing…
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View full official resolution rules
https://www.reddit.com/r/sanfrancisco/comments/1w4p4hk/plug_and_play_solar_under_1200w_is_about_to/ https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/bills/ca_202520260sb868 Background SB 868, authored by Senator Scott Wiener, aims to ease the deployment of "plug-in" or "balcony" solar systems. These are small, portable systems (capped at 1,200 watts) that users can plug directly into standard 120V wall outlets without needing utility permission, complex permits, or costly electrician fees. The bill passed the California State Legislature on August 26, 2026, and is designed to expand clean energy access for renters and low-income households. Major utility companies, including PG&E, opposed the bill unless amended. A compromise amendment was subsequently added in the Assembly, introducing a sunset clause that causes the utility interconnection exemption to expire on January 1, 2030, unless reauthorized by lawmakers. The bill is currently on Governor Newsom's desk awaiting his final action. Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if California Governor Gavin Newsom vetoes Senate Bill 868 (SB 868, the "Plug and Play Solar Act") during the 2025–2026 legislative session. This market will resolve to NO if Governor Newsom signs SB 868 into law, or if he takes no action by the constitutional deadline (September 30, 2026), allowing the bill to automatically become law without his signature. The primary sources of truth for this market will be: The official California Legislative Information SB 868 Status Page The CalMatters Digital Democracy Bill Tracker for SB 868 Press releases from the official Office of Governor Gavin Newsom This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.