Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Primary for governor by 10.00% or more?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.4%.
- Final market price
- 77.4%
- Event deadline
- August 11, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Primary for governor by 10.00% or more? The final Manifold price was 77.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.4%.
- Market data as of
- August 14, 2026 at 8:49 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 25, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 11, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview]resolves yes if francesca hongs margin over 2nd place is 10.0000% or more?
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview]resolves yes if francesca hongs margin over 2nd place is 10.0000% or more?
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ409.3
Liquidity
Ṁ1K
Total volume
Ṁ4.2K
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 77.4%
- Resolves
- Aug 11, 2026