ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 60d ago
Will France beat Paraguay by 2+ goals in regulation on July 4, 2026 (7/4/26)?
Final price
54.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Final market price
- 54.8%
- Event deadline
- July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will France beat Paraguay by 2+ goals in regulation on July 4, 2026 (7/4/26)? The final Manifold price was 54.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 54.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 7, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:05 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 60d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ36.6
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ109.3
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 54.8%
- Resolves
- Jul 4, 2026
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