Will EXACTLY 2 of the following people (@jatloe, @DottedCalculator, @121, @E142) bet on this market by resolve date?
Final price
48.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 48.9%.
- Final market price
- 48.9%
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will EXACTLY 2 of the following people (@jatloe, @DottedCalculator, @121, @E142) bet on this market by resolve date? The final Manifold price was 48.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 48.9%.
- Market data as of
- June 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 125d ago
What this market actually measures
pretty self-explanatory
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
pretty self-explanatory