Will Europe experience another official heatwave before August?
Final price
52.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.0%.
- Final market price
- 52.0%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 52.0%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Europe experience another official heatwave before August? The final Manifold price was 52.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 26, 2026 at 12:42 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 87d ago
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