Will Ethereum be higher exactly a week from now?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.5%.
- Final market price
- 50.5%
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Ethereum be higher exactly a week from now? The final Manifold price was 50.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.5%.
- Market data as of
- June 25, 2026 at 9:57 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 11:49 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 71d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Ethereum (ETH-USD) on June 22, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC is strictly higher than the price of Ethereum on June 15, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC. This market will resolve to NO if the price is equal to or lower than the baseline price.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Ethereum (ETH-USD) on June 22, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC is strictly higher than the price of Ethereum on June 15, 2026, at 4:00 PM UTC. This market will resolve to NO if the price is equal to or lower than the baseline price. Source of Truth: The price will be determined using the hourly candle close for the respective times on the Yahoo Finance ETH-USD ticker. If Yahoo Finance data is unavailable or fails to provide the specific hourly data, the price will be verified using historical trading data from CoinGecko. Background Ethereum entered 2026 trading at approximately $3,000 USD but has experienced a downward trend throughout the first half of the year. Headwinds including consecutive weeks of ETF outflows, a 23% staff reduction at the Ethereum Foundation, and the postponement of the Glamsterdam hard fork upgrade to Q3 2026 have weighed heavily on price action. As of June 15, 2026, ETH is hovering between $1,720 and $1,810 USD. Despite the mid-year selloff, short-term relief has been catalyzed by a risk-on rotation in broader markets following geopolitical de-escalation in the Middle East. This market tracks whether ETH can maintain this upward momentum over a seven-day window.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ3
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 50.5%
- Resolves
- Jun 22, 2026