Will England and Switzerland both finish first in their respective groups?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.3%.
- Final market price
- 46.3%
- Event deadline
- June 27, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will England and Switzerland both finish first in their respective groups? The final Manifold price was 46.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 46.3%.
- Market data as of
- June 30, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 27, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 113d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met during the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup: England finishes in 1st place in Group L. Switzerland finishes in 1st place in Group B.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met during the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup: England finishes in 1st place in Group L. Switzerland finishes in 1st place in Group B. If either team finishes in 2nd place or lower, the market will resolve to NO. Official final group standings will be verified using the FIFA Tournament Standings or, as a secondary source, the 2026 FIFA World Cup Wikipedia Page once the group stage concludes on June 27, 2026. Any official tie-breakers implemented by FIFA to determine the final group ranking will be respected. Background The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team format divided into 12 groups of four: Group B (playing June 12–24, 2026) consists of Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, and Switzerland. Group L (playing June 17–27, 2026) consists of England, Croatia, Ghana, and Panama. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.