Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire by June 22, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 90.8%.
- Final market price
- 90.8%
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 90.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 90.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire by June 22, 2026? The final Manifold price was 90.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 90.8%.
- Market data as of
- June 14, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 21, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 128d ago
What this market actually measures
According to Forbes OR Bloomberg. I may withdraw liquidity if there are few traders.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
According to Forbes OR Bloomberg. I may withdraw liquidity if there are few traders. Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A brief display of $1T on Forbes/Bloomberg is not sufficient for YES resolution. The value must be sustained, not just a temporary fluctuation.