Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.0%.
- Final market price
- 87.0%
- Event deadline
- June 13, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex? The final Manifold price was 87.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 87.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 15, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 13, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 128d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg. If both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Elon Musk's net worth as reported by Forbes and Bloomberg. If both of these sources agree that Elon Musk has a net worth of greater than or equal to $1 trillion on June 12th this resolves Yes. This market will include after market updates that happen before the beginning of the next trading day. References for resolution: Elon Musk Bloomberg - Are you a robot?