Will Elliott Lehrer and Caroline Ellison go on a date in June?
Final price
24.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 24.4%.
- Final market price
- 24.4%
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 2:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Elliott Lehrer and Caroline Ellison go on a date in June? The final Manifold price was 24.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 24.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 15, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 1, 2026 at 2:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 98d ago
What this market actually measures
Defined as a meeting with mutual knowledge of romantic intent
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Defined as a meeting with mutual knowledge of romantic intent