Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Source: Manifold price history
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 97.4%
- Event deadline
- November 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election? The last traded Manifold probability before the deadline was 97.4%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- November 4, 2026 at 8:57 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 4, 2026 at 9:26 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- November 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 29m ago
What this market actually measures
2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview](Identical market to: source market)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia [link preview](Identical market to: source market)