Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.8%.
- Final market price
- 44.8%
- Event deadline
- September 7, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 44.8%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 44.8%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? The final Manifold price was 44.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.8%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 7, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max) If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max) If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO.