Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 29, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 3:41 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max) If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO. (Identical market to: source market)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, after both models are officially released in General Availability (GA) and ranked on the Artificial Analysis, DeepSeek V4 Pro has a higher overall Elo rating than GPT-5.6 Sol (on max) If GPT-5.6 Sol has a higher or equal Elo rating than DeepSeek V4 Pro, this market resolves to NO. (Identical market to: source market)
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1.2K
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ1.2K
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 1.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 15, 2026