ManifoldUncategorizedUpdated 42d ago

Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 1, 2026?

Final price
67.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 67.3%.

Final market price
67.3%
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 10:25 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 1, 2026? The final Manifold price was 67.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 67.3%.

Market data as of
August 25, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 7, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 22, 2026 at 10:25 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
42d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Daniel Lord (Daniel Jason Lord) uploads a new video or hosts a public livestream on his main YouTube channel, Hiding in my room (@hidinginmyroom1111), before September 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Daniel Lord (Daniel Jason Lord) uploads a new video or hosts a public livestream on his main YouTube channel, Hiding in my room (@hidinginmyroom1111), before September 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC. Otherwise, the market resolves to NO. Valid Content: Any newly uploaded video, YouTube Short, or public livestream counts. Deletion and Privating: Due to the creator's habit of deleting or privating videos/streams shortly after they air, any stream or upload that is verified to have occurred within the timeframe will resolve the market to YES, even if it is later removed. Verifiable community evidence from hubs like the r/HIMRFAM2 subreddit or archival links will be accepted. Exclusions: Re-uploading unmodified older videos does not count. Background Daniel Lord, who vlogs under the moniker "Hiding in my room" (HIMR), is an English-Malaysian content creator. Known for sharing highly personal, diary-style vlogs detailing his relationships, day-to-day life, and travels, Daniel has a history of repeatedly deleting his internet footprint during personal crises. Following a period of absence, he returned to YouTube on his channel @hidinginmyroom1111 in mid-2026, documenting his life living in his car and his ongoing personal struggles. This market tracks his upload and livestreaming activity leading up to September 1, 2026.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ87.9

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ87.9

Category
Uncategorized
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
—
Current probability
67.3%
Resolves
Aug 22, 2026

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