Will Captain Sauce upload a video this week?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Final market price
- 53.1%
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 53.1%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Captain Sauce upload a video this week? The final Manifold price was 53.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 29, 2026 at 5:17 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Captain Sauce was away from YouTube for quite a while. Recently, he has come back, and uploaded at least 1 video per week since, but will he keep it up?
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Captain Sauce was away from YouTube for quite a while. Recently, he has come back, and uploaded at least 1 video per week since, but will he keep it up? Will Captain Sauce upload a video (shorts don't count) on YouTube before September 1st using the EST timezone?
Market data
24h volume
0 mana
Liquidity
100 mana
Total volume
13 mana
- Category
- Other
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 53.1%
- Resolves
- Aug 30, 2026