Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.8%.
- Final market price
- 33.8%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026? The final Manifold price was 33.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.8%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 80d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at the daily close for July 31, 2026 (the price as of 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC, per Coinbase Advanced / coinbase.com BTC-USD) is at or above $65,000. Resolves NO otherwise.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at the daily close for July 31, 2026 (the price as of 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC, per Coinbase Advanced / coinbase.com BTC-USD) is at or above $65,000. Resolves NO otherwise. Fallback oracle if Coinbase is unavailable: CoinGecko BTC/USD close for the same timestamp. As of June 11, 2026, BTC traded around $62,860.