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ManifoldCryptoUpdated 34d ago

Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026?

Final price
33.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.8%.

Final market price
33.8%
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Bitcoin (BTC-USD) close above $65,000 on July 31, 2026? The final Manifold price was 33.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.8%.

Market data as of
August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
34d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolves YES if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at the daily close for July 31, 2026 (the price as of 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC, per Coinbase Advanced / coinbase.com BTC-USD) is at or above $65,000. Resolves NO otherwise.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolves YES if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at the daily close for July 31, 2026 (the price as of 2026-08-01 00:00 UTC, per Coinbase Advanced / coinbase.com BTC-USD) is at or above $65,000. Resolves NO otherwise. Fallback oracle if Coinbase is unavailable: CoinGecko BTC/USD close for the same timestamp. As of June 11, 2026, BTC traded around $62,860.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ602.8

Category
Crypto
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
33.8%
Resolves
Jul 31, 2026

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