ManifoldPlay moneyCryptoUpdated 43d ago

Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?

Final price
98.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.5%.

Final market price
98.5%
Event deadline
August 26, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now? The final Manifold price was 98.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.5%.

Market data as of
August 29, 2026 at 4:18 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 26, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
43d ago

What this market actually measures

OPEN: $69,369.73 Start: 6:10 PM EDT — August 19, 2026 Start (UTC): 10:10 PM UTC — August 19, 2026 End: 6:10 PM EDT — August 26, 2026 End (UTC): 10:10 PM UTC — August 26, 2026 Resolution Criteria This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher than $69,369.73 exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market was created. If the price is $69,369.73 or lower, the market resolves to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

OPEN: $69,369.73 Start: 6:10 PM EDT — August 19, 2026 Start (UTC): 10:10 PM UTC — August 19, 2026 End: 6:10 PM EDT — August 26, 2026 End (UTC): 10:10 PM UTC — August 26, 2026 Resolution Criteria This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher than $69,369.73 exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market was created. If the price is $69,369.73 or lower, the market resolves to NO. Primary Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD Reference Price: $69,369.73 at 10:10 PM UTC on August 19, 2026 Resolution Time: 10:10 PM UTC on August 26, 2026 If precise minute-by-minute historical data is unavailable, the closest available Yahoo Finance BTC-USD data point to the specified timestamp will be used.

Market data

24h volume

1.7K mana

Liquidity

1K mana

Total volume

10.6K mana

Category
Crypto
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
—
Current probability
98.5%
Resolves
Aug 26, 2026

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