Will bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 92.1%.
- Final market price
- 92.1%
- Event deadline
- August 28, 2026 at 2:37 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will bitcoin be higher 7 days from now? The final Manifold price was 92.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 92.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 31, 2026 at 1:32 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 28, 2026 at 2:37 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 28, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC is strictly higher than the price of Bitcoin on August 21, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 28, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC is strictly higher than the price of Bitcoin on August 21, 2026, at 12:00 PM (noon) UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. The primary source of truth for the price will be the BTC-USD ticker on Yahoo Finance. Baseline price (August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC): To be recorded by the creator at resolution. Target price (August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC): To be recorded by the creator at resolution. Fallback Rule: If Yahoo Finance is experiencing an outage or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time, the spot price on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap at the specified time will be used instead. Background Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's largest decentralized cryptocurrency by market capitalization. As of August 21, 2026, the asset is trading around $74,000 to $75,000 USD, experiencing a sharp rally over the past several days. This market tracks whether Bitcoin's positive momentum will carry forward over the next seven days, or if the asset will see a pullback. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
131.9 mana
Liquidity
100 mana
Total volume
1.3K mana
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 92.1%
- Resolves
- Aug 28, 2026