Will Bitcoin be higher 14 days from now?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.0%.
- Final market price
- 55.0%
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin be higher 14 days from now? The final Manifold price was 55.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 55.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 21, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 18, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 61d ago
What this market actually measures
OPEN $64,347.65 Start 12:00 PM EDT 8/5/2026 END 12:00 PM EDT 8/19/2026 This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly X days after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
OPEN $64,347.65 Start 12:00 PM EDT 8/5/2026 END 12:00 PM EDT 8/19/2026 This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly X days after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO. Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin) Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)