Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 62.5%.
- Final market price
- 62.5%
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now? The final Manifold price was 62.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 62.5%.
- Market data as of
- June 26, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 22, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 117d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 22, 2026 is strictly higher than the closing price on June 15, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 22, 2026 is strictly higher than the closing price on June 15, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. The primary source of truth is the daily "Close" price (reflecting 11:59 PM UTC) on the Yahoo Finance BTC-USD Historical Data page. If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or fails to provide data for either date, the market will resolve using CoinGecko's historical daily closing price for those respective dates as a backup. Background Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's largest decentralized cryptocurrency. As of June 15, 2026, Bitcoin is trading in the mid-$66,000 range. Cryptocurrency prices remain highly volatile and subject to rapid fluctuations based on macroeconomic events, regulatory shifts, and broader market sentiment. This market measures the net direction of its price over a one-week period. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.