Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 38.8%.
- Final market price
- 38.8%
- Event deadline
- June 29, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now? The final Manifold price was 38.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 38.8%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 12:50 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 29, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 112d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 30, 2026, is strictly higher than the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 23, 2026. This market resolves to NO if the closing price of Bitcoin on June 30, 2026, is equal to or lower than the closing price on June 23, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 30, 2026, is strictly higher than the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on June 23, 2026. This market resolves to NO if the closing price of Bitcoin on June 30, 2026, is equal to or lower than the closing price on June 23, 2026. Source of Truth: The closing prices will be verified using the historical price data on Yahoo Finance (BTC-USD). Fallback: If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or fails to report data for these days, the market will resolve using the daily close recorded on CoinGecko's Bitcoin Page. Background As of late June 2026, Bitcoin is hovering around the $64,000 to $65,000 range. Cryptocurrency markets have faced conflicting signals: macroeconomic headwinds from a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh and continuous outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs are weighing on risk assets, while easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have provided some temporary relief. This market predicts whether Bitcoin can maintain an upward trajectory over a strict seven-day window from June 23, 2026, to June 30, 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.