Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- June 14, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Bitcoin be exactly higher 7 days from now? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 16, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 14, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 126d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market's creation is strictly greater than the price of Bitcoin at the moment of creation. If the price is equal to or lower than the starting price, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market's creation is strictly greater than the price of Bitcoin at the moment of creation. If the price is equal to or lower than the starting price, this market resolves to NO. Source of Truth: The price will be determined using the BTC/USD exchange rate on CoinGecko. Baseline Price: The creator should pin a comment or update this description with the starting price and exact timestamp within a few hours of market creation. If the creator does not specify, the historical price data on CoinGecko or Yahoo Finance BTC-USD corresponding to the creation timestamp will be used as the baseline. Ending Time: Exactly 168 hours (7 days) after the recorded creation timestamp. Tie Rule: If the price at the ending time is exactly equal to the starting price down to the nearest cent, the market will resolve to NO. Background Bitcoin (BTC) is the first decentralized digital currency and the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Because it trades 24/7 across global markets, price discovery is continuous. This market evaluates the short-term direction of Bitcoin's price over a strict 7-day window. Update 2026-06-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The baseline price at market creation is $63,064