Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in June?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 79.4%.
- Final market price
- 79.4%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in June? The final Manifold price was 79.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 79.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:07 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve Yes if BRKB outperforms SPX in June 2026. This is a comparison of price returns only, not total return, but adjustment would be made to allow for splits.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve Yes if BRKB outperforms SPX in June 2026. This is a comparison of price returns only, not total return, but adjustment would be made to allow for splits. The primary resolution source will be finance.yahoo.com, using Close prices from the last trading day of May to the last trading day of June. Other sources may also be considered, for example if the primary source is unavailable or has a manifest error in the relevant figures. I may bet on this market.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ130.3
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 79.4%
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026