Will Arkansas Issue 3 (economic development districts) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?

This market resolves YES if Arkansas Issue 3 (A Constitutional Amendment Concerning Economic Development in the State of Arkansas; and Authorizing the General Assembly to Provide for the Creation of Economic Development Districts Within Cities, Counties, or Cooperative Areas to Promote Economic Development Within the Economic Development District.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule: Simple majority of electors voting on the amendment (Ark. Const. art. 19 §22) Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented. What the votes mean (official summary): YES: FOR: authorizes economic development programs/loans/grants and districts with bonding and taxing powers; supersedes conflicting provisions. NO: AGAINST: no change to constitutional economic development provisions. Results: resolves on the result certified by County boards of election commissioners certify returns to the Secretary of State, who certifies statewide results. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls. No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A. Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution. Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast. Official source: https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/elections/Issue_No._3_SJR_15_of_2026_.pdf