Will Apple stock go up?
The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Last probability before deadline
- 16.2%
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- closed
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Apple stock go up? The last traded Manifold probability before the deadline was 16.2%. The event deadline has passed. This market is awaiting formal resolution, so the price shown is the last traded level, not a live forecast.
- Market data as of
- August 14, 2026 at 5:06 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 26, 2026 at 5:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Awaiting resolution
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
This market will resolve "yes" if the price of a single Apple share is higher at the end of trading on August 14 (4:00 PM EST) than it was at the end of trading on July 31.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market will resolve "yes" if the price of a single Apple share is higher at the end of trading on August 14 (4:00 PM EST) than it was at the end of trading on July 31.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ363.1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ3.4K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 16.2%
- Resolves
- Aug 14, 2026