Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting Zambian elections by question close.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.9%.
- Final market price
- 11.9%
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 4:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will anyone help me find an edge forecasting Zambian elections by question close. The final Manifold price was 11.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 11.9%.
- Market data as of
- August 12, 2026 at 3:29 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 4:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 70d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves Yes if someone helps me find an significant edge in forecasting the vote shares of the 1st round of Zambian elections by question close. Examples include "This poll shows that Fred M'membe is expected to split the votes of Brian Mundublie".
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves Yes if someone helps me find an significant edge in forecasting the vote shares of the 1st round of Zambian elections by question close. Examples include "This poll shows that Fred M'membe is expected to split the votes of Brian Mundublie". The related metaculus market does not count as an edge, nor does the university poll or related Polymarket. The edge can be commented below or dmed to be