ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 42d ago
Will any player from France *or* playing as a French civilization *surrender*/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7?
Final price
39.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.5%.
- Final market price
- 39.5%
- Event deadline
- August 8, 2026 at 7:51 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will any player from France *or* playing as a French civilization *surrender*/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7? The final Manifold price was 39.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.5%.
- Market data as of
- August 11, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 23, 2026 at 3:49 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 8, 2026 at 7:51 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
player from france: like margougou fulfill the French national stereotype!
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
player from france: like margougou fulfill the French national stereotype!
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ65.8
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 39.5%
- Resolves
- Aug 8, 2026