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ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 42d ago

Will any player from France *or* playing as a French civilization *surrender*/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7?

Final price
39.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.5%.

Final market price
39.5%
Event deadline
August 8, 2026 at 7:51 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will any player from France *or* playing as a French civilization *surrender*/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7? The final Manifold price was 39.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.5%.

Market data as of
August 11, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 23, 2026 at 3:49 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 8, 2026 at 7:51 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
42d ago

What this market actually measures

player from france: like margougou fulfill the French national stereotype!

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

player from france: like margougou fulfill the French national stereotype!

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ1

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ65.8

Category
Geopolitics
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
39.5%
Resolves
Aug 8, 2026

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