Will any of these high profile people offically endorse Francesca Hong?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.1%.
- Final market price
- 1.1%
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 4:17 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will any of these high profile people offically endorse Francesca Hong? The final Manifold price was 1.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.1%.
- Market data as of
- August 15, 2026 at 3:09 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 12, 2026 at 4:17 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 67d ago
What this market actually measures
Congratulating on a primary victory doesn’t count. This must be an official endorsement for the 2026 governor election, or an appearance at a public rally or event for her would count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Congratulating on a primary victory doesn’t count. This must be an official endorsement for the 2026 governor election, or an appearance at a public rally or event for her would count. Stuff like ‘I support all our democratic nominees’ doesn’t count. Resolves yes if at least one of these does: Aoc Kamala Harris Gavin Newsom Pete Buttigieg No more names will be added. Update 2026-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The market will resolve YES if Francesca Hong runs as a third-party candidate and receives a qualifying endorsement. The creator will resolve the market early if she loses the primary election.