ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 55d ago
Will AI beat humans at AtCoder World Tour Finals 2026?
Final price
84.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 84.9%.
- Final market price
- 84.9%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 84.9%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 84.9%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will AI beat humans at AtCoder World Tour Finals 2026? The final Manifold price was 84.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 84.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 11, 2026 at 11:47 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 55d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ222
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ555.2
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 84.9%
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
Related markets
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
57%YESTrust 79
Polymarket$112.5K 24h
Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
42%YESTrust 25
ManifoldṀ337.5 24h
Will there be a new contender on Felony Bench by end of 2026?
62%YESTrust 2
ManifoldṀ261.2 24h
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
45%YESTrust 16
ManifoldṀ119 24h
OpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
82%YESTrust 0
ManifoldṀ68.1 24h
Will OpenAI officially confirm that Astra uses a recurrent-depth (looped) architecture by Dec 31, 2026?
35%YESTrust 0
ManifoldṀ50 24h